默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights v Pittsburgh Penguins

2026-10-18 02:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vegas Golden Knights (主队)

预测 67.14%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -5.88%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.48%67.15%67.05%67.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.421.421.4571.94%70.46%70.42%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)

预测 32.86%3.04公平赔率
EV -1.42%
优势 -0.475%
Kelly -0.712%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
32.04%32.85%32.95%34.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.882.903.0036.36%34.75%34.48%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Vegas Golden Knights (主队):67.14%;Pittsburgh Penguins (客队):32.86%。 对于“Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.04。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.00,期望值为-1.42%,未产生正期望值。

有 20 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.65%E -1.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.65%E -1.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 16:59
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-16 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-16 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 17:50
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 18:44
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 21:29
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-16 20:30
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -2.41%E -0.811%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 21:20
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 17:50
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -2.08%E -0.698%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -2.41%E -0.811%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 21:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 21:15
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.64%E -3.50%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 21:17
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.59%EV -6.67%E -4.80%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.41%EV -8.98%E -3.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 21:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-16 16:15
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-16 16:10
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 66.17%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.83%10.3%2026-10-16 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-16 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-16 21:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (20)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.81%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.67%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.52%3.1%2026-10-16 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%3.3%2026-10-16 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%3.3%2026-10-16 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%3.3%2026-10-16 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%3.3%2026-10-16 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.86%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.66%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%4.8%2026-10-16 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%5.1%2026-10-16 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%5.6%2026-10-16 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-10-16 21:29
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-10-16 21:30
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-10-16 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-10-16 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-10-16 21:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%6.9%2026-10-16 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%7.0%2026-10-16 21:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%9.1%2026-10-16 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%10.0%2026-10-16 21:30
picklebet_au🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%10.2%2026-10-16 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.78%16.0%2026-10-16 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%16.8%2026-10-16 21:30