Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vegas Golden Knights v Los Angeles Kings

2026-10-11 02:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vegas Golden Knights (Local)

Prediction 59.96%1.67fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.38%59.84%59.90%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.601.6466.23%62.46%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Kings (Visit)

Prediction 40.04%2.50fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.16%40.10%41.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.372.382.4545.05%42.16%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 59.96%; Los Angeles Kings (Visit): 40.04%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.64, with an expected value of -1.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.92%E -3.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:30
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.92%E -3.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.92%E -3.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 19:35
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.91%E -0.780%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-10 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 18:30
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.86%E -1.76%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.92%E -3.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.46%E -2.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.46%E -2.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.46%E -2.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.46%E -2.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 20:04
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.46%E -2.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.71%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 19:40
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.46%E -2.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.32%E -2.70%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.46%E -2.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.92%E -3.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:04
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.46%E -2.15%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.92%E -3.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.06%E -2.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.06%E -2.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.06%E -2.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.71%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.06%E -2.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:01
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.06%E -2.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.06%E -2.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.06%E -2.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 20:09
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.91%E -0.780%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 18:15
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.91%E -0.780%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 18:15
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.11%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.71%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.52%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:15
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.66%E -2.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.52%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.26%E -3.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.26%E -3.33%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.86%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.91%E -0.780%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 17:55
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.86%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.52%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.48%EV -11.12%E -5.01%K -9.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 19:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-10-10 17:15
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-10-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-10 20:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-10 20:01
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-10-10 19:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.41%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.51%3.1%2026-10-10 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-10-10 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-10-10 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-10-10 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-10-10 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%4.7%2026-10-10 20:04
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-10-10 19:35
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-10-10 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-10-10 19:35
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-10-10 19:35
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-10-10 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-10-10 19:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.50%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.48%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%6.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-10-10 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%9.2%2026-10-10 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%10.9%2026-10-10 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%14.2%2026-10-10 20:05