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Vegas Golden Knights v Los Angeles Kings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 59.81%1.67fair odd
EV +0.481%
Edge +0.286%
Kelly +0.707%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.92%59.69%59.85%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.601.6866.23%62.48%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Kings (Visit)
Prediction 40.19%2.49fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.31%40.15%43.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.372.372.4545.05%42.17%42.19%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 59.81%; Los Angeles Kings (Visit): 40.19%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.481%.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV +0.481%E +0.286%K +0.707%G +0.003% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -10.78%E -4.85%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 00:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.31%E -0.796%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.51%E -1.54%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 00:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -1.94%E -0.793%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-11 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.74%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.74%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 00:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.11%E -1.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 00:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.53%E -0.626%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-10 23:57 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.74%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.54%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.54%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.71%E -2.30%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.54%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.54%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.54%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.35%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 02:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.53%E -0.626%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.53%E -0.626%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.74%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.54%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.54%E -1.48%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.35%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.90%E -3.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.10%E -3.88%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.35%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.70%E -4.29%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.53%E -0.626%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 23:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.52%EV -9.69%E -6.42%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.48%EV -10.78%E -4.85%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-10-11 01:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.33% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.6% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.56% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.25% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.18% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 01:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 02:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.40% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.18% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 02:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.82% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62% | 14.8% | 2026-10-11 01:35 |