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Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
Prediction 65.34%1.53fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.889%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.06%65.26%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.481.5169.93%67.86%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anaheim Ducks (Visit)
Prediction 34.66%2.88fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -0.652%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.94%34.74%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.752.8538.46%36.67%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 65.34%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 34.66%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.34%E -0.889%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.14%E -3.07%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.41%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 18:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 02:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 02:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.00%E -1.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -2.65%E -1.78%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%EV -1.90%E -0.671%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.65%E -1.78%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.29%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.65%E -1.78%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.29%E -1.18%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 01:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.65%E -1.78%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.67%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.65%E -1.78%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.83%E -3.36%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 01:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.30%E -2.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -3.98%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 21:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.30%E -2.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -3.98%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.30%E -2.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.30%E -2.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.67%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.30%E -2.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.67%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.30%E -2.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.87%E -3.80%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 02:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.96%E -2.69%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.98%E -1.44%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 02:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.96%E -2.69%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.67%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 01:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.61%E -3.16%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 01:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.61%E -3.16%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.37%E -1.97%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.67%E -1.70%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.41%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.41%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.92%E -4.11%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.21%E -0.423%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.92%E -4.11%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.92%E -4.11%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.94%E -1.05%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.21%E -0.423%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 01:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.6% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 01:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.35% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.02% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.63% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 02:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 02:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34% | 12.4% | 2026-10-03 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42% | 13.9% | 2026-10-03 01:59 |