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Vegas Golden Knights v Anaheim Ducks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vegas Golden Knights (Local)
assuming max odds 1.67
Anaheim Ducks (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vegas Golden Knights (Local): 59.69%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 40.31%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -0.324%; they did not produce positive expected value.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.324%E -0.194%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.71%E -1.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-02 22:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.91%E -2.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.23%E -0.503%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 06:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -1.63%E -0.670%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 11:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.91%E -2.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.05%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.25%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-02 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -5.10%E -3.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -10.50%E -4.73%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -11.66%E -7.88%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -12.52%E -5.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 00:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.23% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 22:48 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.82% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 17:34 |