Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Canucks v Vegas Golden Knights

2026-10-05 01:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vancouver Canucks (Local)

Prediction 33.24%3.01fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%33.42%33.18%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.832.852.9238.17%35.31%35.09%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 66.76%1.50fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.17%66.58%66.82%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4671.43%69.90%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vancouver Canucks (Local): 33.24%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 66.76%. For Vegas Golden Knights (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.46, with an expected value of -2.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.93%E -1.00%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.54%E -3.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 15:09
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.54%E -3.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 14:55
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.54%E -3.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 17:25
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.54%E -3.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.26%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.54%E -3.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -4.60%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -5.20%E -3.66%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 17:25
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.87%E -2.69%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.87%E -2.69%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 19:11
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.87%E -2.69%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 19:11
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.87%E -2.69%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 19:10
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.26%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.54%E -3.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 15:35
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.53%E -1.74%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.20%E -2.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 16:25
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -12.91%E -4.93%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.54%E -4.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 17:04
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -12.91%E -4.93%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -6.54%E -4.67%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 17:02
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.96%1.49I 67.11%NM 67.04%0.1%2026-10-03 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-10-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-10-03 18:30
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-10-03 14:55
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%8.5%2026-10-03 19:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.90%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.02%3.0%2026-10-03 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%3.2%2026-10-03 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%3.2%2026-10-03 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%3.2%2026-10-03 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%3.2%2026-10-03 19:11
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.02%4.6%2026-10-03 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-10-03 19:10
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-10-03 19:10
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-10-03 19:11
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-10-03 19:11
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.3%2026-10-03 19:11
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%6.3%2026-10-03 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.30%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%7.1%2026-10-03 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%9.1%2026-10-03 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%10.0%2026-10-03 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.16%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%12.6%2026-10-03 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%15.0%2026-10-03 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.22%17.8%2026-10-03 17:05