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Vancouver Canucks v Vegas Golden Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vancouver Canucks (Local)
Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV +0.691%
Edge +0.195%
Kelly +0.271%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.10%28.37%28.33%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.353.5531.75%29.90%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)
Prediction 71.64%1.40fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.00%71.63%71.67%72.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.331.341.3679.37%75.00%74.63%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vancouver Canucks (Local): 28.36%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 71.64%. For Vancouver Canucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.691%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.691%E +0.195%K +0.271%G +0.002% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 20:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.727%E -0.208%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.727%E -0.208%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -1.29%E -0.372%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.20%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -1.29%E -0.372%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.20%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-05 00:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.15%E -0.622%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 21:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.15%E -0.622%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%EV -2.43%E -0.706%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%EV -2.57%E -1.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 01:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -3.28%E -0.962%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 00:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 19:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 01:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.57%E -1.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.72%E -3.55%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.87%E -5.29%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.57%E -1.89%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.29%E -2.44%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -9.74%E -7.73%K -37.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 01:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 0.0% | 2026-10-05 00:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 01:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.22% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-10-05 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-10-05 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-10-05 01:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.29% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.68% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.68% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.68% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.55% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.11% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.02% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.27% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.71% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.09% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 01:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 01:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.49% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68% | 12.9% | 2026-10-05 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69% | 13.8% | 2026-10-05 01:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.54% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.68% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.78% | 15.9% | 2026-10-05 00:59 |