L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.95
avec la cote maximale 1.32
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.890%E +0.225%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.890%E +0.225%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.387%E -0.099%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.432%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Bally Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -3.20%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -3.20%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Caesars | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:51 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.19%EV -4.98%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.81%EV -1.72%E -1.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 01:34 |
| DraftKings | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 01:30 |
| GTbets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 01:30 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 00:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.46%E -1.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| BetAnything | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.07%EV -11.39%E -9.58%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-05 02:15 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Polymarket | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| BetOpenly | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.93% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |
| 1xBet | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.90% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.60% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Unibet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.57% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.57% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Grosvenor | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.57% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Casumo | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.57% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| TABtouch | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06% | 10.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.05I 19.80%NM 17.84% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 02:49 |