La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vancouver Canucks v Carolina Hurricanes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vancouver Canucks (Local)
Predicción 25.54%3.92momio equitativo
EV +0.890%
Ventaja +0.225%
Kelly +0.302%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.18%25.62%25.54%27.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.703.703.9529.41%27.03%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Carolina Hurricanes (Visitante)
Predicción 74.46%1.34momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -5.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%74.38%74.46%75.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.291.291.3284.03%77.81%77.52%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.890%E +0.225%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.890%E +0.225%K +0.302%G +0.003% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.387%E -0.099%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.66%E -0.432%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Bally Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Coral | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.94%E -0.774%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -3.20%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -3.20%E -0.844%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Caesars | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 02:51 |
| Fliff | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.19%EV -4.98%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.81%EV -1.72%E -1.30%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 01:34 |
| DraftKings | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 01:30 |
| GTbets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 01:30 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 02:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 00:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.77%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.46%E -1.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| BetAnything | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| TAB | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.07%EV -11.39%E -9.58%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-05 02:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Polymarket | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| BetOpenly | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.52% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.23% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.47% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.30% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.57% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.93% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |
| 1xBet | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.90% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.60% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.46% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Unibet | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.57% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.57% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Grosvenor | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.57% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Casumo | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.57% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| TABtouch | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.44% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.81% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97% | 8.4% | 2026-03-05 01:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.55% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06% | 10.8% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.05I 19.80%NM 17.84% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 02:49 |