A Escola das Odds

Utah Mammoth v St Louis Blues

Início: 2026-04-16 23:35 UTC

Final: Utah Mammoth 3–5 St Louis Blues

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Previsão 52.10%1.92odd justa
EV +0.029%
Vantagem +0.015%
Kelly +0.032%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.96%52.22%54.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.711.821.811.9258.48%54.89%55.25%52.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

St Louis Blues (Visitante)

Previsão 47.90%2.09odd justa
EV +1.55%
Vantagem +0.732%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.22%48.04%47.78%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.812.012.002.1255.25%49.86%50.00%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

20 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV +1.55%E +0.732%K +1.39%G +0.021%2.1%2026-04-16 23:30
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -8.83%E -5.04%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV +1.55%E +0.732%K +1.39%G +0.021%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +0.593%E +0.282%K +0.539%G +0.003%2.9%2026-04-16 23:30
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +0.593%E +0.282%K +0.539%G +0.003%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.32%E -0.642%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.28%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:30
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 23:29
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.74%E -3.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 23:29
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 23:29
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 23:30
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.26%E -4.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 23:30
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.72%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 23:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 23:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:30
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 23:30
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 23:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 23:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 23:28
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 23:29
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.26%E -4.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 23:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 23:29
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +0.029%E +0.015%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 23:29
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +0.029%E +0.015%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 23:29
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.492%E -0.258%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 23:23
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.492%E -0.258%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 23:29
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.99%E -4.73%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 23:28
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -10.91%E -6.38%K -15.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -13.30%E -7.35%K -16.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-16 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-04-16 23:23
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-16 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-16 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-16 23:30
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-16 23:30
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-16 23:30
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-16 23:30
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-16 23:30

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (20)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.03%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-16 23:30
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.83%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%4.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-04-16 23:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-04-16 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-04-16 23:29
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-04-16 23:29
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-04-16 23:29
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-04-16 23:30
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%7.3%2026-04-16 23:29
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%8.1%2026-04-16 23:29
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%8.4%2026-04-16 23:29
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%8.7%2026-04-16 23:30
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.05%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%9.2%2026-04-16 23:29
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-04-16 23:29
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.12%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%12.1%2026-04-16 23:29