L’École des cotes

Utah Mammoth v St Louis Blues

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 23:35 UTC

Score final : Utah Mammoth 3–5 St Louis Blues

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Prévision 52.10%1.92cote équitable
EV +0.029%
Avantage +0.015%
Kelly +0.032%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.96%52.22%54.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.821.811.9258.48%54.89%55.25%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Louis Blues (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.90%2.09cote équitable
EV +1.55%
Avantage +0.732%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.22%48.04%47.78%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.812.012.002.1255.25%49.86%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV +1.55%E +0.732%K +1.39%G +0.021%2.1%2026-04-16 23:30
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -8.83%E -5.04%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV +1.55%E +0.732%K +1.39%G +0.021%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +0.593%E +0.282%K +0.539%G +0.003%2.9%2026-04-16 23:30
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +0.593%E +0.282%K +0.539%G +0.003%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.32%E -0.642%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.80%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.28%E -1.12%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:30
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 23:29
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.74%E -3.77%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -2.76%E -1.36%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 23:29
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 23:29
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.18%E -2.85%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 23:30
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.26%E -4.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 23:30
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -3.72%E -1.85%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 23:29
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 23:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.66%E -2.55%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 23:30
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 23:30
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.70%E -3.15%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 23:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 23:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 23:28
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.22%E -3.46%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 23:29
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.26%E -4.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.20%E -2.10%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.58%E -1.38%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 23:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.59%E -3.38%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 23:29
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +0.029%E +0.015%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 23:29
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV +0.029%E +0.015%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -8.03%E -4.18%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 23:29
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.492%E -0.258%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 23:23
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.492%E -0.258%K -0.541%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.45%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 23:29
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.99%E -4.73%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 23:28
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -10.91%E -6.38%K -15.37%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -13.30%E -7.35%K -16.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-16 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-04-16 23:23
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-16 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-16 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-04-16 23:30
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-16 23:30
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-04-16 23:30
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-16 23:30
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-04-16 23:30

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (20)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.03%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-16 23:29
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-16 23:30
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.83%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%4.9%2026-04-16 23:29
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-04-16 23:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-04-16 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-04-16 23:29
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-04-16 23:29
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-04-16 23:29
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-04-16 23:30
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.16%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%7.3%2026-04-16 23:29
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%8.1%2026-04-16 23:29
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%8.4%2026-04-16 23:29
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%8.7%2026-04-16 23:30
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.05%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%9.2%2026-04-16 23:29
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-04-16 23:29
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.12%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%12.1%2026-04-16 23:29