The School of Odds
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Utah Mammoth v Edmonton Oilers

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 01:44 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Prediction 55.28%1.81fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.30%55.27%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.731.7763.29%57.87%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Edmonton Oilers (Visit)

Prediction 44.72%2.24fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%44.70%44.73%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.132.152.2050.76%46.88%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Mammoth (Local): 55.28%; Edmonton Oilers (Visit): 44.72%. For Edmonton Oilers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.15%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 01:38
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.70%E -1.53%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.52%E -1.16%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-08 01:36
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:40
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 01:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -2.07%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -2.07%E -0.947%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-08 01:40
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:39
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:39
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:36
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:38
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:36
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 01:39
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.81%E -2.19%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:26
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 01:40
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 01:40
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.20%E -2.45%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.65%E -2.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 01:40
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.65%E -2.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 01:39
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.36%E -2.52%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.76%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.76%E -2.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 01:29
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.91%E -2.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.46%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.46%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 01:38
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 01:37
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.57%E -3.89%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.63%E -0.739%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.65%E -8.01%K -21.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -11.91%E -6.05%K -12.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-08 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-04-08 01:29
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-04-08 01:40
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-08 01:40
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-04-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-04-08 01:40
Novig◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%2.3%2026-04-08 01:40
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-04-08 01:40
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-04-08 01:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.57%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-04-08 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.57%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-04-08 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.57%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-04-08 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.57%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-04-08 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91%4.0%2026-04-08 01:40
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.80%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.60%4.7%2026-04-08 01:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.59%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-04-08 01:29
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-04-08 01:39
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-04-08 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-04-08 01:40
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.64%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%5.1%2026-04-08 01:40
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.20%6.0%2026-04-08 01:39
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%6.2%2026-04-08 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-04-08 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-04-08 01:28
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%7.6%2026-04-08 01:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.84%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%8.6%2026-04-08 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%9.3%2026-04-08 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%9.3%2026-04-08 01:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.31%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%9.4%2026-04-08 01:31
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.56%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%9.5%2026-04-08 01:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.58%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%12.5%2026-04-08 01:40