La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.150%E -0.080%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.35%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| ReBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.35%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.35%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Betsson | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:57 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -11.90%E -7.21%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.85%E -6.87%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.18% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.13% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 21:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.89% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 21:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.34% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.87% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |