L’École des cotes

Utah Mammoth v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Utah Mammoth (Local)

Prévision 53.40%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.150%
Avantage -0.080%
Kelly -0.173%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.17%53.39%53.25%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.791.801.8760.61%55.96%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.60%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%46.61%46.75%47.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.042.052.1053.48%48.91%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -0.150%E -0.080%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:05
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 20:58
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.35%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:04
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.35%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:59
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.35%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:04
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:04
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:04
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:04
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 21:05
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.93%E -2.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:58
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.42%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.96%E -2.78%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:03
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:57
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 21:03
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 21:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:04
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -11.90%E -7.21%K -18.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -12.85%E -6.87%K -14.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 20:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-04-11 21:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%3.2%2026-04-11 20:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-04-11 21:04
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%2.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.35%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.18%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%4.8%2026-04-11 20:59
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%6.3%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-11 21:04
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-04-11 21:03
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.13%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%7.9%2026-04-11 21:04
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%8.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%8.2%2026-04-11 21:00
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 40.89%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-04-11 21:01
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%10.0%2026-04-11 21:05
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.34%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%12.5%2026-04-11 21:05