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Toronto Maple Leafs v New Jersey Devils

2026-11-09 00:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Maple Leafs (Local)

Prediction 41.67%2.40fair odd
EV -0.409%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.294%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%41.63%41.77%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.3946.51%43.49%43.48%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Jersey Devils (Visit)

Prediction 58.33%1.71fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%58.37%58.23%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.651.6764.52%61.04%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Maple Leafs (Local): 41.67%; New Jersey Devils (Visit): 58.33%. For Toronto Maple Leafs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.39, with an expected value of -0.409%; they do not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.409%E -0.171%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-08 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.24%E -0.524%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.24%E -0.524%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.08%E -0.883%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.08%E -0.883%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 15:29
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.08%E -0.883%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 15:40
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.08%E -0.883%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 11:40
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.08%E -0.883%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 12:13
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.08%E -0.883%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-08 11:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.08%E -0.883%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:45
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.08%E -0.883%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:45
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.49%E -1.06%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 12:09
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 16:25
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 16:25
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-08 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-08 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.59%E -1.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-08 06:25
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 07:34
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 03:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 15:29
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.51%E -3.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 16:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.16%E -1.81%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 15:29
Caesars🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.58%E -2.00%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.17%E -1.91%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 10:10
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.99%E -2.19%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 03:25
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.41%E -2.38%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.34%E -2.65%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 03:25
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 15:40
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 15:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 11:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 15:43
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.24%E -2.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.76%E -2.28%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 15:45
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.33%E -3.78%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 15:39
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.33%E -3.78%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 15:38
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.41%E -4.84%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.59%E -6.19%K -17.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-08 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-11-08 15:35
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-11-08 16:45
ProphetX◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-11-08 15:55
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-11-08 15:05
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-11-08 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-11-08 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%1.2%2026-11-08 16:45
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%1.5%2026-11-08 16:45
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-11-08 16:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.66%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.91%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.43%3.2%2026-11-08 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.47%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-11-08 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.47%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-11-08 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.47%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-11-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.47%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%3.3%2026-11-08 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-11-08 15:33
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.62%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.91%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-11-08 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-11-08 11:44
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-11-08 11:44
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-11-08 11:45
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%5.3%2026-11-08 13:15
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.64%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.5%2026-11-08 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-11-08 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-11-08 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-11-08 14:10
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-11-08 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%11.1%2026-11-08 15:29
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%11.5%2026-11-08 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.64%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.06%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.30%12.1%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%12.9%2026-11-08 15:40

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