語言:繁體中文
Tampa Bay Lightning v Washington Capitals
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Tampa Bay Lightning (主隊)
預測 63.92%1.56公平賠率
EV -2.21%
優勢 -1.44%
Kelly -4.17%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.53
博彩公司預測分布
62.03%63.94%63.86%65.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.411.501.501.5370.92%66.73%66.67%65.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Washington Capitals (客隊)
預測 36.08%2.77公平賠率
EV -0.767%
優勢 -0.279%
Kelly -0.438%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.75
博彩公司預測分布
34.99%36.06%36.14%37.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.502.632.632.7540.00%37.97%38.02%36.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Tampa Bay Lightning (主隊)：63.92%；Washington Capitals (客隊)：36.08%。 對於「Washington Capitals (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.77的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為2.75，期望值為-0.767%，未產生正期望值。
有 21 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (37 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 ▼ | 客隊 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.21%E -1.44%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.79%E -3.92%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.85%E -1.87%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -1.85%E -0.680%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.29%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.79%E -3.92%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.767%E -0.279%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.767%E -0.279%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 16:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.952%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.952%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.952%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.952%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.79%E -3.92%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.79%E -3.92%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.57%E -0.952%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.10%E -1.94%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.10%E -1.94%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.10%E -1.94%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:43 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.767%E -0.279%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.767%E -0.279%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.41%E -3.65%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.767%E -0.279%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -9.88%E -7.01%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -9.79%E -3.92%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.46% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.54% | -0.2% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-10-03 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (21)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 選項 3 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.21% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.87% | 1.6% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.83% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.73% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:57 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14% | 12.9% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.25% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26% | 13.7% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89% | 14.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |