La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Tampa Bay Lightning v Montréal Canadiens
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Tampa Bay Lightning (Casa)
Previsione 61.41%1.63quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.30%61.37%61.54%62.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.551.561.6069.93%64.42%64.10%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)
Previsione 38.59%2.59quota equa
EV -1.21%
Vantaggio -0.474%
Kelly -0.779%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.19%38.63%38.46%39.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.272.472.482.5644.05%40.45%40.32%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -3.14%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.21%E -0.474%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| Bovada | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.97%E -1.88%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.58%E -2.28%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 21:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.60%E -0.628%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-19 21:30 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.76%E -1.09%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 21:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 20:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 21:30 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 21:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.62%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.20%E -2.69%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.81%E -3.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.81%E -3.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.81%E -3.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.30%E -1.73%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 21:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.81%E -3.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.69%E -1.90%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 21:48 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.81%E -3.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.07%E -2.06%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.81%E -3.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 19:00 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.81%E -3.10%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.39%E -3.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.43%E -3.52%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.60%E -0.628%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.60%E -0.628%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 18:00 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.53%E -1.41%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 16:40 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.04%E -3.95%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.46%E -2.23%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 16:40 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.27%E -4.81%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.60%E -0.628%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.88%E -5.25%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.25%E -4.89%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 21:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -12.18%E -8.52%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -12.41%E -5.46%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-04-19 21:44 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.52% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 38.48% | 0.3% | 2026-04-19 21:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.79% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.15% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.06% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.00% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 21:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 21:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 21:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.37% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 21:43 |