Oddsskolan

Tampa Bay Lightning v Montréal Canadiens

Matchstart: 2026-05-03 22:12 UTC

Slutresultat: Tampa Bay Lightning 1–2 Montréal Canadiens

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

36 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Hemma)

Prognos 59.33%1.69rättvist odds
EV -0.922%
Fördel -0.552%
Kelly -1.38%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.14%59.55%59.32%62.03%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.481.611.621.6767.57%62.10%61.73%59.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Borta)

Prognos 40.67%2.46rättvist odds
EV +1.68%
Fördel +0.672%
Kelly +1.12%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.97%40.45%40.68%41.86%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.152.352.352.5046.51%42.57%42.55%40.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

21 spelbolag erbjuder ett annat antal alternativ för denna marknad (3-vägs, jämfört med 2-vägs som används i analysen). Skillnaden innebär att analysresultaten bör tolkas med försiktighet.

Spelbolagsodds (36 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.23%E -6.03%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.68%E +0.672%K +1.12%G +0.019%5.4%2026-05-03 22:10
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.23%E -6.03%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.68%E +0.672%K +1.12%G +0.019%5.4%2026-05-03 22:10
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.57%E -0.650%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-03 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.67%E -3.57%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -1.57%E -0.650%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 22:10
Paddy Power1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.39%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 22:10
BetAnything1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.30%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:10
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:10
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -4.01%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -4.01%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 22:09
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.01%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 22:10
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.01%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 22:10
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.01%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 22:10
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -0.922%E -0.552%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 22:09
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:11
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:10
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:08
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:09
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 22:10
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 22:10
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 22:10
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 22:10
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.08%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 22:09
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.11%E -1.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.48%E -2.78%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.23%E -2.25%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 22:02
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.70%E -1.65%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -5.64%E -2.43%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 21:59
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.30%E -2.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 22:04
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 22:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.67%E -3.57%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 22:10
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.04%E -5.19%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 22:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.89%E -2.40%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 22:03
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -12.19%E -8.24%K -25.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -12.56%E -5.84%K -10.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 21:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-03 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-03 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-05-03 22:10
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-05-03 21:59
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-05-03 22:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.13%1.7%2026-05-03 22:10
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-03 22:10
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 59.16%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%8.4%2026-05-03 22:10

Övriga spelbolag — ingår inte i analysen (21)

Dessa spelbolag erbjuder ett annat antal alternativ för marknaden och utesluts därför från analysen. Oddsen visas endast som referens; avräkningsreglerna för spelen kan skilja sig och medföra ytterligare osäkerhet.

SpelbolagAlternativ 1Alternativ 2Alternativ 3Marginal ▲Uppdaterat
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-05-03 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-05-03 22:10
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-05-03 22:10
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-05-03 22:10
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.94%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.05%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.01%4.6%2026-05-03 21:59
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-05-03 21:59
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.91%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.57%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%5.0%2026-05-03 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%5.1%2026-05-03 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%5.4%2026-05-03 22:10
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%5.4%2026-05-03 22:10
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%5.4%2026-05-03 22:10
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%5.4%2026-05-03 22:10
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%5.6%2026-05-03 22:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%6.3%2026-05-03 22:10
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%6.7%2026-05-03 22:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%6.7%2026-05-03 21:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%6.9%2026-05-03 22:10
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%7.3%2026-05-03 22:01
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%7.6%2026-05-03 22:10
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%7.7%2026-05-03 22:10
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.96%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%12.7%2026-05-03 22:10