A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Tampa Bay Lightning v Detroit Red Wings
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Previsão 63.21%1.58odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.56%63.26%63.11%64.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.391.511.521.5571.94%66.02%65.79%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Detroit Red Wings (Visitante)
Previsão 36.79%2.72odd justa
EV -0.660%
Vantagem -0.245%
Kelly -0.388%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.56%36.74%36.89%38.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.422.582.602.7041.32%38.69%38.46%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.
Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.97%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.97%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 22:08 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 18:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 21:20 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.91%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.91%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 14:30 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 14:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.87%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.87%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 21:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 00:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:23 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.08%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 17:19 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.660%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 22:18 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.52%EV -12.14%E -8.73%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.48%EV -10.96%E -4.53%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-13 06:39 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (9)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.14% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.86% | -0.1% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 22:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 22:10 |
Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)
Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.
| Casa de apostas | Opção 1 | Opção 2 | Opção 3 | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.83% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.78% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.14% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 23:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.18% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |