L’École des cotesFrançais
Tampa Bay Lightning v Detroit Red Wings
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tampa Bay Lightning (Local)
Prévision 63.21%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%63.26%63.11%64.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.511.521.5571.94%66.02%65.79%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Detroit Red Wings (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.79%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.660%
Avantage -0.245%
Kelly -0.388%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.56%36.74%36.89%38.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.422.582.602.7041.32%38.69%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.03%E -1.31%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.60%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.97%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.97%E -1.52%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-13 22:08 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.66%E -1.73%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-13 18:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 21:20 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.29%E -2.15%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-13 17:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 22:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.91%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.91%E -2.73%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.92%E -2.58%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 14:30 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 14:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.87%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 14:44 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.87%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.56%E -3.02%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 21:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 00:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 22:23 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.08%E -1.97%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.19%E -3.46%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 17:19 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.660%E -0.245%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 22:18 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.82%E -3.91%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.45%E -4.36%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.52%EV -12.14%E -8.73%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.48%EV -10.96%E -4.53%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-13 06:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.14% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.86% | -0.1% | 2026-04-13 22:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-13 22:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-04-13 22:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.83% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.78% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.14% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-04-13 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 23:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.18% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41% | 8.9% | 2026-04-13 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-04-13 22:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20% | 12.3% | 2026-04-13 16:10 |