La scuola delle quote

Tampa Bay Lightning v Buffalo Sabres

Inizio: 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Casa)

Previsione 68.06%1.47quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -6.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.35%68.04%68.07%69.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.401.401.4377.52%71.31%71.43%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Buffalo Sabres (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.94%3.13quota equa
EV -0.674%
Vantaggio -0.217%
Kelly -0.320%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.49%31.96%31.93%33.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.993.003.1136.36%33.47%33.33%32.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.67%E -1.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 22:30
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.67%E -1.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 22:29
Everygame1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.67%E -1.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 12:09
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -2.67%E -1.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -6.74%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 21:59
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -0.674%E -0.217%K -0.320%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-28 20:19
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -3.23%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 23:53
Paddy Power1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 23:44
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 22:29
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.57%E -3.78%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 23:09
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -0.674%E -0.217%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -0.674%E -0.217%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 19:00
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:39
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 15:45
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.83%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 23:44
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 21:54
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 21:54
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.994%E -0.320%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 23:54
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.994%E -0.320%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 23:54
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.994%E -0.320%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 21:05
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.994%E -0.320%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 23:34
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:26
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:14
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.51%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 23:44
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 03:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 23:49
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.71%E -3.37%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:30
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.39%E -3.88%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.59%E -0.849%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 21:04
Fliff1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.39%E -3.88%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:44
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -2.27%E -0.742%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.78%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 23:48
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.44%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.994%E -0.320%K -0.473%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.07%EV -12.20%E -9.46%K -42.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -12.17%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 15:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.95%3.22I 31.06%NM 31.05%0.0%2026-02-28 23:55
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 69.10%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.90%0.5%2026-02-28 23:54
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-02-28 23:54
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-28 18:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-02-28 22:50
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-02-28 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-02-28 23:54
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-02-28 23:54

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-02-28 22:35
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-02-28 22:34
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-02-28 22:34
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-02-28 22:34
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.18%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.22%4.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.20%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%4.7%2026-02-28 21:59
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-02-28 22:29
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-02-28 22:29
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-02-28 23:43
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-02-28 22:29
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-02-28 22:29
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.41%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.48%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.11%4.9%2026-02-28 23:54
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-02-28 23:19
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%7.0%2026-02-28 22:29
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%7.4%2026-02-28 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%8.7%2026-02-28 23:49
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%9.0%2026-02-28 23:49
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%9.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%9.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%10.0%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%11.0%2026-02-28 23:49
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%11.0%2026-02-28 23:49