The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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St Louis Blues v Vegas Golden Knights

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 00:08 UTC

Final: St Louis Blues 6–2 Vegas Golden Knights

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Louis Blues (Local)

Prediction 47.49%2.11fair odd
EV -0.265%
Edge -0.126%
Kelly -0.241%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%47.55%47.44%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.1052.63%50.01%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 52.51%1.90fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.45%52.56%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.8758.82%55.01%54.79%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Louis Blues (Local): 47.49%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 52.51%. For St Louis Blues (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -0.265%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.265%E -0.126%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.265%E -0.126%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 18:54
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.265%E -0.126%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 18:54
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.69%E -0.816%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-22 23:44
Caesars🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.69%E -0.816%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.06%E -3.99%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 00:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 22:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.64%E -1.29%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.11%E -4.64%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 18:54
Bet Right🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.59%E -1.77%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 23:55
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.06%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -1.81%E -0.969%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-23 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -4.54%E -2.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -1.81%E -0.969%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-23 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 23:43
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 23:44
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 23:44
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 00:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 00:00
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 23:44
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 23:31
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.44%E -2.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.96%E -2.74%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 00:05
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.96%E -2.74%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 00:05
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 23:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 23:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 22:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 22:15
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.01%E -2.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.49%E -3.05%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.96%E -3.01%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 23:44
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -1.81%E -0.969%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.91%E -3.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.81%E -0.969%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 23:35
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.81%E -0.969%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 00:05
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.39%E -3.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.81%E -0.969%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.91%E -2.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.29%E -4.86%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -10.74%E -6.32%K -15.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-22 23:43
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.76%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 00:05
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.76%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 00:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.76%E -5.14%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.86%E -1.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 00:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-10-23 00:05
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%0.5%2026-10-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-10-23 00:05
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-10-23 00:05
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-23 00:05
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-10-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-10-23 00:05
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-10-23 00:05
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-10-22 23:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 37.04%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.39%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.9%2026-10-23 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.37%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%3.2%2026-10-23 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.37%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%3.2%2026-10-23 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.37%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%3.2%2026-10-23 00:00
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-10-22 23:55
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.8%2026-10-22 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-10-22 23:44
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-10-22 23:44
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.69%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-10-22 23:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-10-23 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-10-23 00:00
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-10-23 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-10-22 23:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.99%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-10-23 00:05
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-10-23 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.2%2026-10-22 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.78%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%9.7%2026-10-23 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%11.2%2026-10-23 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.71%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%12.3%2026-10-23 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.12%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.99%16.6%2026-10-23 00:05