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St Louis Blues v Toronto Maple Leafs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Louis Blues (Local)
Prediction 56.32%1.78fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.32%56.27%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7360.61%58.86%58.82%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit)
Prediction 43.68%2.29fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.18%43.68%43.73%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.202.2547.62%45.82%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Louis Blues (Local): 56.32%; Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit): 43.68%. For Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.57%E -1.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.71%E -0.761%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.64%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.64%E -2.61%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.21%E -2.40%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.21%E -2.40%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.82%E -2.85%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 15:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.27%E -3.94%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.02% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.62% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.37% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.49% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.25% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.49% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.93% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85% | 8.9% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 23:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.88% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99% | 11.2% | 2026-03-28 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.65% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44% | 16.9% | 2026-03-27 23:35 |