The School of Odds
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St Louis Blues v New York Islanders

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Louis Blues (Local)

Prediction 46.67%2.14fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.945%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.58%46.75%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.052.1252.63%48.84%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Islanders (Visit)

Prediction 53.33%1.88fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.42%53.25%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.791.801.8361.35%55.92%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Louis Blues (Local): 46.67%; New York Islanders (Visit): 53.33%. For St Louis Blues (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.06%E -0.499%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-10 23:30
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.99%E -0.948%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:29
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.99%E -0.948%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.99%E -0.948%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.99%E -0.948%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.74%E -4.47%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.39%E -1.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.39%E -1.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 23:35
ReBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.39%E -1.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 23:29
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.39%E -1.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:29
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.86%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 21:05
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:29
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:30
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 21:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:30
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 21:05
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:30
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 21:05
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 21:15
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.79%E -2.35%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 22:59
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:30
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.73%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.94%E -1.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:30
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.73%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 23:30
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 23:29
SportsBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.19%E -3.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:30
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 23:30
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 23:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -11.33%E -5.96%K -12.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.82%EV -13.07%E -8.02%K -20.75%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-10 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-03-10 23:29
ProphetX◎2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-03-10 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-10 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-03-10 23:35
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-10 23:30
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-10 23:30
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-03-10 21:05
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-03-10 23:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-03-10 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-03-10 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.08%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53%3.7%2026-03-10 21:20
Coolbet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%4.7%2026-03-10 23:29
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.21%4.8%2026-03-10 23:29
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-10 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-10 23:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-10 23:15
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-03-10 23:15
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.71%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-03-10 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%6.8%2026-03-10 21:10
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-03-10 23:15
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%7.2%2026-03-10 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%8.8%2026-03-10 23:30
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%8.9%2026-03-10 23:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%8.9%2026-03-10 21:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%9.3%2026-03-10 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%10.2%2026-03-10 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%10.9%2026-03-10 23:35