The School of Odds
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Seattle Kraken v Utah Mammoth

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 02:08 UTC

Final: Seattle Kraken 5–3 Utah Mammoth

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 38.08%2.63fair odd
EV +0.520%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.317%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.78%38.09%38.14%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.472.6442.55%40.16%40.49%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Mammoth (Visit)

Prediction 61.92%1.61fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.91%61.86%63.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.551.5768.97%64.61%64.52%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 38.08%; Utah Mammoth (Visit): 61.92%. For Seattle Kraken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.520%.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV +0.520%E +0.197%K +0.317%G +0.002%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-23 01:55
Bovada🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +0.139%E +0.053%K +0.085%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 01:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.242%E -0.092%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.242%E -0.092%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 02:05
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.00%E -0.386%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 02:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.00%E -0.386%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 01:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.00%E -0.386%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 01:55
BetUS🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -1.38%E -0.534%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-23 02:05
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 02:05
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 01:55
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 02:00
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 02:05
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 01:35
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 01:35
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 01:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.81%E -1.92%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 01:34
Paddy Power🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -5.95%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -5.95%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.95%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 01:55
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -6.33%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 02:00
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 13:40
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 13:40
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 13:39
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 01:24
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 09:45
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 01:45
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 01:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 02:04
Betsson🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -7.10%E -2.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 02:00
NordicBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -7.10%E -2.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 02:00
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.86%E -3.25%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 02:05
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 01:35
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 09:25
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 09:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 09:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%0.3%2026-10-23 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-10-23 02:05
ProphetX◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-10-23 02:05
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-10-23 01:45
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-10-23 01:25
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-10-23 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-10-23 02:05
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-10-23 02:05
BetOpenly◎2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%2.5%2026-10-23 01:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%1.7%2026-10-23 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-10-22 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-10-22 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.33%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%3.4%2026-10-22 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%4.7%2026-10-23 02:05
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 26.98%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.90%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13%4.7%2026-10-23 01:59
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%4.9%2026-10-23 01:40
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-22 23:15
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-22 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-22 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%6.6%2026-10-23 01:40
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-10-22 22:55
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-10-22 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%7.0%2026-10-23 02:00
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%8.1%2026-10-23 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%8.9%2026-10-23 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%9.3%2026-10-23 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%11.0%2026-10-23 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 28.80%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%12.7%2026-10-23 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.88%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.42%17.4%2026-10-23 02:00