L’École des cotes

Seattle Kraken v Tampa Bay Lightning

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prévision 37.43%2.67cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.737%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.56%37.45%37.50%39.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.532.552.6242.55%39.48%39.22%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.57%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%62.55%62.50%63.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.541.541.5770.92%65.12%64.94%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.93%E -0.737%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.52%E -3.66%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:54
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-17 16:10
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 00:55
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 00:55
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 16:49
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 16:24
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 16:04
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-17 16:25
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.68%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.52%E -3.66%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 00:55
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-17 21:50
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-17 21:50
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.43%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.89%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 21:55
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.80%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -1.77%E -1.12%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-18 00:55
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.80%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.52%E -3.66%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 00:55
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 21:49
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-18 00:54
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.39%E -1.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-18 00:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 21:55
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 21:50
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.55%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.52%E -3.66%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:20
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 21:55
MyBookie.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.89%E -3.22%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 00:55
ReBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.67%E -2.25%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 00:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 22:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 00:54
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 00:55
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -7.55%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 00:54
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -7.55%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.64%E -2.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 00:55
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 00:55
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 00:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 22:00
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 22:00
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -11.78%E -8.35%K -28.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-18 00:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.72I 36.76%NM 37.04%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.96%-0.7%2026-03-18 00:55
ProphetX2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-03-17 22:55
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%0.3%2026-03-17 23:20
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-03-17 09:30
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-03-17 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-03-17 23:30
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-03-18 00:55

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 28.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.03%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.76%3.0%2026-03-18 00:55
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-03-18 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-03-18 00:55
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%3.4%2026-03-18 00:55
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%4.5%2026-03-18 00:54
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-03-18 00:55
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.92%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%6.4%2026-03-18 00:55
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%6.9%2026-03-17 20:55
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-03-18 00:55
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-03-18 00:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.45%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%7.7%2026-03-18 00:55
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-18 00:55
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-03-18 00:54
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.17%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.88%10.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%13.5%2026-03-18 00:55