The School of Odds
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Seattle Kraken v Minnesota Wild

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 02:09 UTC

Final: Seattle Kraken 1–5 Minnesota Wild

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 37.59%2.66fair odd
EV -0.383%
Edge -0.145%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.69%37.50%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.512.502.6542.02%39.85%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Wild (Visit)

Prediction 62.41%1.60fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.31%62.50%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.541.541.5869.93%64.88%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 37.59%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 62.41%. For Seattle Kraken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.383%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.383%E -0.145%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 02:04
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.759%E -0.288%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-25 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.51%E -0.577%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.51%E -0.577%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 01:40
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.26%E -0.870%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 01:55
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.870%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 02:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.26%E -0.870%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 02:05
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.26%E -0.870%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 01:45
BetUS🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-25 00:54
Paddy Power🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 01:40
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 01:40
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 01:34
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 01:35
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.14%E -1.62%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.76%E -3.82%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 01:55
SportsBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.89%E -1.93%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.14%E -3.38%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 01:40
Everygame🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -5.27%E -2.09%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -1.39%E -0.882%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-25 01:07
Bet Right🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -5.27%E -2.09%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 01:35
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.64%E -1.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 20:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.64%E -1.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 01:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.64%E -1.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 20:00
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.64%E -1.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 01:35
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.02%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 01:35
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -7.15%E -2.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 02:00
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -7.15%E -2.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.89%E -2.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 02:00
ReBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -7.53%E -3.06%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -1.39%E -0.882%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.90%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.64%E -1.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.90%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 20:04
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.90%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 02:00
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.90%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 02:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.90%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 01:48
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.90%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 01:49
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.90%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.90%E -3.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.51%E -2.95%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.78%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.64%E -1.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -9.78%E -4.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -10.76%E -7.52%K -25.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 01:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.53%E -4.43%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 19:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.53%E -4.43%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.53%E -4.43%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.02%E -1.29%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-10-25 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-10-25 02:00
ProphetX◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-10-25 02:05
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-10-25 02:00
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-10-25 00:55
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-10-25 00:50
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-10-25 02:00
BetOpenly◎2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%2.9%2026-10-25 01:35
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%3.1%2026-10-25 02:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-10-25 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.1%2026-10-25 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.1%2026-10-25 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.1%2026-10-25 01:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.2%2026-10-25 02:05
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.60%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.80%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-10-25 01:55
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-10-25 01:59
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-10-24 20:00
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-10-24 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-10-24 20:00
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%6.6%2026-10-24 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.58%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%7.0%2026-10-25 02:04
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%8.1%2026-10-25 02:00
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.64%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%8.5%2026-10-24 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-10-25 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%9.0%2026-10-25 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%11.0%2026-10-25 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%11.4%2026-10-25 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.37%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.00%17.5%2026-10-25 02:00