The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Seattle Kraken v Detroit Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 01:48 UTC

Final: Seattle Kraken 4–3 Detroit Red Wings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Kraken (Local)

Prediction 47.47%2.11fair odd
EV -0.795%
Edge -0.380%
Kelly -0.729%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.41%47.35%47.45%48.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.0953.19%49.84%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 52.53%1.90fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%52.65%52.55%53.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.821.8558.14%55.07%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Kraken (Local): 47.47%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 52.53%. For Seattle Kraken (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.09, with an expected value of -0.795%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.795%E -0.380%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-21 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -0.795%E -0.380%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.91%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -0.795%E -0.380%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.91%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 01:25
Caesars🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -1.74%E -0.843%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 01:29
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 00:30
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.69%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.64%E -1.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.39%E -2.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 01:40
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.12%E -2.04%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.39%E -2.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 00:20
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 01:39
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 00:50
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 00:50
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 00:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 01:40
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:25
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 01:40
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 01:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:25
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:32
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.39%E -2.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 00:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.91%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 01:40
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.91%E -2.72%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:20
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 01:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:20
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 01:25
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 01:30
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.54%E -2.78%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.39%E -2.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 00:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.54%E -2.78%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.39%E -2.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 01:35
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 00:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-21 01:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.76%E -5.73%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.64%E -5.61%K -13.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-21 00:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-10-21 01:45
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-10-21 01:45
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-10-21 01:40
ProphetX◎2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%2.2%2026-10-21 01:45
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-10-21 01:45
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%3.7%2026-10-21 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%6.1%2026-10-21 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%6.1%2026-10-21 01:40
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%6.4%2026-10-21 01:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 37.18%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.5%2026-10-21 00:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.26%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-10-21 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.26%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-10-21 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.26%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-10-21 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%4.5%2026-10-21 01:40
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%4.8%2026-10-21 01:35
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-10-21 00:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%5.4%2026-10-21 00:50
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%5.4%2026-10-21 00:50
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%5.4%2026-10-21 00:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%5.8%2026-10-21 00:50
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%5.8%2026-10-21 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.13%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%6.9%2026-10-21 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-10-21 00:30
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-10-21 01:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.91%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-10-21 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%9.1%2026-10-21 01:38
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%9.8%2026-10-21 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%9.8%2026-10-21 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-10-21 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.88%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.31%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%15.4%2026-10-21 01:38