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San Jose Sharks v New York Islanders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Jose Sharks (Local)
Prediction 43.50%2.30fair odd
EV -0.831%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.71%43.65%43.44%46.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.2850.00%45.92%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Islanders (Visit)
Prediction 56.50%1.77fair odd
EV +0.579%
Edge +0.325%
Kelly +0.742%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.89%56.35%56.56%57.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.701.701.7863.69%58.80%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 43.50%; New York Islanders (Visit): 56.50%. For New York Islanders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.579%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.53%E -4.58%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.579%E +0.325%K +0.742%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.53%E -4.58%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.579%E +0.325%K +0.742%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.97%E -4.81%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV +0.014%E +0.008%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 02:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.66%E -4.12%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.25%E -1.30%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.62%E -2.59%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.18%E -2.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 01:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.18%E -2.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.05%E -2.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.38%E -1.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 01:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.831%E -0.364%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.14%E -0.949%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.14%E -0.949%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.05%E -2.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 01:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.14%E -0.949%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.14%E -0.949%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.14%E -0.949%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.44%E -1.55%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:23 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -13.01%E -6.50%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.33% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.73% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.25% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.66% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.09% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.98% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.06% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 03:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.10% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62% | 13.4% | 2026-03-08 02:59 |