La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.741%E -0.388%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.78%E -0.942%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Everygame | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 03:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 01:54 |
| ReBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.42%E -2.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:42 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:33 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:54 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 17:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 00:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 02:02 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.94%E -3.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.53%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.94%E -3.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.53%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.53%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 01:48 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.01%E -0.988%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.69%E -7.56%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.14%E -6.02%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 07:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 01:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 02:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.22% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.25% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.64% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.07% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.22% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 01:48 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.93% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |