L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.91
avec la cote maximale 2.05
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.741%E -0.388%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.78%E -0.942%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Everygame | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 03:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.98%E -1.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 01:54 |
| ReBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.34%E -1.80%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.42%E -2.22%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:42 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:33 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 21:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:50 |
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 01:54 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 17:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 00:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 02:02 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.94%E -3.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.53%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.94%E -3.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.53%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.53%E -0.749%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 01:48 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.01%E -0.988%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.69%E -7.56%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.14%E -6.02%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63% | -0.0% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| Novig | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 07:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 01:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 02:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.49% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.61% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.22% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.25% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 01:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 01:55 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.82% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.64% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.07% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.64% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 02:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.22% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 01:48 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.93% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |