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San Jose Sharks v Montréal Canadiens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Jose Sharks (Local)
Prediction 45.38%2.20fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -0.900%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.51%45.69%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.1850.00%47.33%47.28%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montréal Canadiens (Visit)
Prediction 54.62%1.83fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.49%54.31%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.13%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 45.38%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 54.62%. For San Jose Sharks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.06%E -0.487%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.97%E -0.912%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.97%E -0.912%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 02:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.15%E -4.21%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.33%E -1.56%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-02 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.97%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.69%E -2.23%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.06%E -3.52%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.60%E -2.69%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.60%E -2.69%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.60%E -2.69%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 03:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.60%E -2.69%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.05%E -2.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.33%E -1.88%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 02:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.05%E -2.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.88%E -2.20%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 02:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.96%E -3.40%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.42%E -2.53%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 03:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.69%E -0.940%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.23%E -4.62%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.69%E -0.940%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 03:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.28% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.20% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.51% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.94% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 02:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 03:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.06% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 03:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 03:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 03:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.03% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.14% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 02:50 |