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San Jose Sharks v Los Angeles Kings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Jose Sharks (Local)
Prediction 50.02%2.00fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.06%50.00%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.901.9755.56%52.79%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Kings (Visit)
Prediction 49.98%2.00fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.780%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.43%49.94%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9755.56%52.28%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 50.02%; Los Angeles Kings (Visit): 49.98%. For San Jose Sharks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -1.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.46%E -0.743%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.46%E -1.80%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.53%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.54%E -1.83%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.04%E -1.56%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.97%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.04%E -1.04%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 19:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 04:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.97%E -3.74%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 19:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.54%E -0.780%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.54%E -0.780%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.54%E -0.780%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 01:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 01:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.5% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.5% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.28% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.37% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.37% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.37% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.53% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 01:52 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.37% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.49% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51% | 11.1% | 2026-10-04 01:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.29% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.57% | 13.1% | 2026-10-04 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.29% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.14% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58% | 13.6% | 2026-10-04 02:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04% | 14.2% | 2026-10-04 01:50 |