Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.41
assuming max odds 1.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 42.07%; Edmonton Oilers (Visit): 57.93%. For San Jose Sharks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +1.38%E +0.574%K +0.981%G +0.014% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.80%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +1.38%E +0.574%K +0.981%G +0.014% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.80%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +0.121%E +0.051%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.15%E -3.80%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -0.299%E -0.126%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -3.83%E -2.31%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.14%E -0.485%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 20:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.14%E -0.485%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.15%E -3.80%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 20:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.25%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.25%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 20:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.99%E -3.04%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.15%E -3.80%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.09%E -1.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.57%E -3.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.09%E -1.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.57%E -3.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.09%E -1.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.57%E -3.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 20:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.09%E -1.79%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.57%E -3.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-10 20:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.93%E -2.18%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.25%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 19:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.93%E -2.18%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.09%E -1.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.09%E -1.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.67%E -1.59%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 19:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.99%E -3.04%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.35%E -2.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.99%E -3.04%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.45%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.52%E -0.891%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-10 19:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.45%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.09%E -1.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.45%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.25%E -1.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 19:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.45%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 19:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.45%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 19:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.45%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.45%E -3.39%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.41%E -2.67%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.55%EV -10.82%E -5.10%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%EV -9.05%E -5.76%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 19:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 20:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-10 20:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 20:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 20:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 1.2% | 2026-10-10 20:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08% | 3.7% | 2026-10-10 19:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14% | 8.0% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38% | 1.7% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.00% | 4.5% | 2026-10-10 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.66% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.29% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.05% | 4.9% | 2026-10-10 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 19:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 20:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.67% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99% | 15.1% | 2026-10-10 19:55 |