L’École des cotes

San Jose Sharks v Chicago Blackhawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 02:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Jose Sharks (Local)

Prévision 59.01%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.875%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%58.95%59.05%60.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.621.621.6767.57%61.64%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Blackhawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.99%2.44cote équitable
EV +0.437%
Avantage +0.178%
Kelly +0.301%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.05%41.05%40.95%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.332.4546.51%42.98%42.83%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.437%E +0.178%K +0.301%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-07 02:00
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.437%E +0.178%K +0.301%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-07 02:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.95%E -5.10%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.383%E -0.158%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 01:56
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.672%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 02:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.00%E -3.11%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.00%E -3.11%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 02:00
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 02:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 02:00
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 01:59
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 01:58
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.59%E -3.49%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.46%E -0.875%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-07 02:00
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 02:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.48%E -1.92%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-07 01:51
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.89%E -2.11%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 02:00
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -5.30%E -2.30%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.46%E -0.875%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 01:59
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 02:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.00%E -3.11%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 02:00
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.94%E -3.06%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 01:59
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.23%E -1.97%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 02:00
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -12.67%E -8.56%K -26.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -11.86%E -5.52%K -10.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-07 02:00
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-07 01:59
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-07 02:00
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-04-07 02:00
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-07 02:00
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-07 02:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%0.7%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-07 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%3.8%2026-04-07 02:00
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.82%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.62%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.56%4.7%2026-04-07 01:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-07 01:59
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-04-07 02:00
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-07 02:00
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%8.3%2026-04-07 01:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-07 02:00
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-04-07 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-04-07 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.67%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%9.9%2026-04-07 01:56
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%12.5%2026-04-07 02:00
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%13.8%2026-04-07 02:00