La escuela de los momios

San Jose Sharks v Chicago Blackhawks

Inicio: 2026-04-07 02:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Jose Sharks (Local)

Predicción 59.01%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.875%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%58.95%59.05%60.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.621.621.6767.57%61.64%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Blackhawks (Visitante)

Predicción 40.99%2.44momio equitativo
EV +0.437%
Ventaja +0.178%
Kelly +0.301%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%41.05%40.95%42.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.332.4546.51%42.98%42.83%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.437%E +0.178%K +0.301%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-07 02:00
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.36%E -4.69%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.437%E +0.178%K +0.301%G +0.001%4.5%2026-04-07 02:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.95%E -5.10%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.383%E -0.158%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 01:56
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.61%E -0.672%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 02:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.00%E -3.11%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.00%E -3.11%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 02:00
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 02:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 02:00
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 01:59
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 01:58
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 02:00
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.59%E -3.49%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.46%E -0.875%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-07 02:00
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.07%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-07 02:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.48%E -1.92%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-07 01:51
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.89%E -2.11%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 02:00
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -5.30%E -2.30%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.46%E -0.875%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 01:59
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 02:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.00%E -3.11%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.71%E -2.48%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 02:00
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.82%E -2.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.94%E -3.06%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.64%E -1.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 01:59
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.23%E -1.97%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.41%E -2.72%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.76%E -3.45%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 02:00
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -12.67%E -8.56%K -26.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -11.86%E -5.52%K -10.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 02:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-07 02:00
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-07 01:59
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-07 02:00
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-04-07 02:00
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-07 02:00
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-07 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-07 02:00

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%0.7%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-07 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%3.8%2026-04-07 02:00
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.82%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.62%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.56%4.7%2026-04-07 01:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-04-07 01:59
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-04-07 02:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-04-07 02:00
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-07 02:00
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-04-07 02:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%8.3%2026-04-07 01:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-07 02:00
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-04-07 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%8.8%2026-04-07 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.67%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%9.9%2026-04-07 01:56
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%12.5%2026-04-07 02:00
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%13.8%2026-04-07 02:00