The School of Odds
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San Jose Sharks v Buffalo Sabres

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 02:14 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Sharks (Local)

Prediction 43.71%2.29fair odd
EV +0.528%
Edge +0.229%
Kelly +0.406%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.62%43.79%43.44%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.182.202.3049.50%45.88%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Sabres (Visit)

Prediction 56.29%1.78fair odd
EV -0.925%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%56.21%56.56%58.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.681.691.7664.52%59.36%59.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 43.71%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 56.29%. For San Jose Sharks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.528%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.528%E +0.229%K +0.406%G +0.002%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.68%E -4.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 01:59
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -0.347%E -0.152%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -7.68%E -4.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:09
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.66%E -0.737%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 02:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.66%E -0.737%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 02:09
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.66%E -0.737%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:09
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.09%E -0.935%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 02:09
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.53%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:06
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.97%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 02:09
SportsBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 02:08
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.05%E -1.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.05%E -1.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 02:09
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 02:06
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 02:06
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 01:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:09
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 02:09
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 02:08
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:07
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:08
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:09
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 02:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.84%E -1.75%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 02:08
Betsson🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:10
NordicBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:02
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.05%E -1.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:06
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 02:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 02:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 02:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.03%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 02:09
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 02:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 02:09
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -9.53%E -4.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -0.925%E -0.526%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 02:09
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.40%E -5.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.49%E -0.851%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 02:07
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -11.71%E -5.80%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.75%E -8.22%K -23.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-03-20 01:59
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-03-20 02:10
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-20 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%3.4%2026-03-20 02:09
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%3.8%2026-03-20 02:08
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%3.9%2026-03-20 02:09
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%7.5%2026-03-20 02:10
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%7.8%2026-03-20 02:09
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 60.69%1.76I 56.82%NM 39.31%44.5%2026-03-20 02:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.52%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%4.7%2026-03-20 02:00
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.25%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%4.7%2026-03-20 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-03-20 02:09
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.64%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.28%5.6%2026-03-20 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%6.5%2026-03-20 02:08
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-03-20 02:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%9.3%2026-03-20 02:04
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-03-20 02:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-20 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%9.6%2026-03-20 02:09
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%9.6%2026-03-20 02:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%9.6%2026-03-20 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%9.6%2026-03-20 02:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%9.6%2026-03-20 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%9.6%2026-03-20 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-03-20 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%10.8%2026-03-20 02:08
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-03-20 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.11%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-03-20 02:07
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-03-20 02:09
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-03-20 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.24%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%17.0%2026-03-20 02:09