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San Jose Sharks v Boston Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Jose Sharks (Local)
Prediction 44.97%2.22fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.13%44.97%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.092.102.1751.81%47.74%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Bruins (Visit)
Prediction 55.03%1.82fair odd
EV -0.938%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.87%55.03%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.18%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 44.97%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 55.03%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -0.938%; they did not produce positive expected value.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.04%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.69%E -2.11%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.69%E -2.11%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.32%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.24%E -2.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 02:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.32%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.24%E -2.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 02:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.32%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.24%E -2.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.32%E -1.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.24%E -2.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 03:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.22%E -1.98%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 03:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.67%E -2.20%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.69%E -2.11%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.12%E -2.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.79%E -2.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.12%E -2.43%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.79%E -2.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 03:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 02:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 02:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 02:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-14 02:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.69%E -2.11%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.69%E -2.11%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.24%E -2.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.79%E -2.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 03:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.79%E -2.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 03:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.57%E -2.65%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.89%E -3.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 03:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.47%E -3.11%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.04%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-14 02:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.92%E -3.34%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.49%E -0.831%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 02:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.92%E -3.34%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.04%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 03:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.92%E -3.34%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 02:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.92%E -3.34%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.14%E -1.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-14 03:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.69%E -2.11%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 01:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.69%E -2.11%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 02:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.69%E -2.11%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 02:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.24%E -2.44%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.79%E -2.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.82%E -3.82%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.79%E -2.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 02:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.07%E -5.03%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.938%E -0.521%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -13.22%E -6.85%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -7.54%E -4.49%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-10-14 03:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-10-14 03:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-10-14 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35% | 6.3% | 2026-10-14 03:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50% | 6.7% | 2026-10-14 03:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 1.8% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.95% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04% | 3.3% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 02:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.6% | 2026-10-14 02:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.36% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 03:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 01:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-10-14 02:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.33% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33% | 9.9% | 2026-10-14 03:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18% | 12.1% | 2026-10-14 03:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93% | 14.8% | 2026-10-14 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58% | 16.2% | 2026-10-14 03:10 |