Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Sharks v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Sharks (Local)

Prediction 50.04%2.00fair odd
EV -0.422%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.427%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.58%49.89%50.00%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.911.9957.14%52.57%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 49.96%2.00fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.11%50.00%51.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.911.911.9756.50%52.43%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Sharks (Local): 50.04%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 49.96%. For San Jose Sharks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -0.422%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -0.422%E -0.212%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%EV -0.422%E -0.212%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 01:00
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -1.92%E -0.981%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 21:54
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -1.92%E -0.981%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 21:54
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.42%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.42%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 21:54
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.42%E -1.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.58%E -0.800%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 00:45
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.42%E -1.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 18:49
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 18:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 18:49
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 00:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 20:27
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 18:04
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 00:58
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 01:00
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 21:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 18:19
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 19:30
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 00:24
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 00:09
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:40
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:40
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:54
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 00:23
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:48
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -12.43%E -7.10%K -16.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -11.57%E -6.54%K -15.02%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-02 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.38%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.62%0.3%2026-04-02 01:00
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-02 00:25
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-02 00:50
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-04-02 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-04-02 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-04-02 00:45
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.6%2026-04-02 01:00
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-04-02 00:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-02 00:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-01 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-01 21:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-01 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.39%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.9%2026-04-01 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.22%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%4.1%2026-04-02 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.37%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-04-02 00:39
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.47%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.52%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.01%4.7%2026-04-02 00:59
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-01 21:54
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-01 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-01 21:54
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-04-01 21:55
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%4.9%2026-04-01 23:55
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.4%2026-04-01 21:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.60%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.98%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%7.5%2026-04-02 00:50
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.98%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%7.8%2026-04-01 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-02 01:00
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-04-02 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.58%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%9.8%2026-04-02 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.58%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%9.8%2026-04-02 01:00