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Pittsburgh Penguins v Winnipeg Jets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Prediction 61.63%1.62fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.61%61.71%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.561.5868.97%64.38%64.10%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Winnipeg Jets (Visit)
Prediction 38.37%2.61fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -0.885%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%38.39%38.29%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.502.5742.55%40.34%40.00%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Penguins (Local): 61.63%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 38.37%. For Winnipeg Jets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.57, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -2.62%E -1.66%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -5.61%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 10:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.39%E -0.541%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.16%E -0.846%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 13:32 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.92%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-05 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.92%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 13:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.99%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.99%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.99%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.99%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 12:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.76%E -2.78%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.24%E -2.06%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.86%E -2.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.92%E -1.16%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-05 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 10:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.86%E -2.47%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.47%E -2.89%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.47%E -2.89%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 10:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.47%E -2.89%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.47%E -2.89%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.99%E -2.45%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.09%E -3.30%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.16%E -0.846%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.09%E -3.30%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.16%E -0.846%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.09%E -3.30%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.16%E -0.846%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.09%E -3.30%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.16%E -0.846%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.09%E -3.30%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 10:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.09%E -3.30%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.84%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 09:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 10:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.71%E -3.73%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.68%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -10.64%E -7.34%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -9.83%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 12:31 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 12:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 2.3% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.78% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 13:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 10:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 10:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 13:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 10:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23% | 12.4% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.27% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28% | 15.1% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |