La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Penguins v Philadelphia Flyers

Inizio: 2026-03-07 22:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Casa)

Previsione 56.04%1.78quota equa
EV -2.49%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -3.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.06%56.02%56.04%56.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.711.711.7464.52%58.48%58.48%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.96%2.27quota equa
EV -1.09%
Vantaggio -0.485%
Kelly -0.873%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%43.98%43.96%44.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.162.152.2549.50%46.25%46.51%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:29
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:29
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:29
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:30
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.93%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 22:29
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.09%E -0.485%K -0.873%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 22:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.37%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.37%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 22:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:29
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:28
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.41%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:26
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:30
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 22:25
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 22:29
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 22:29
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.29%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.41%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 22:30
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.29%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 22:29
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -13.14%E -8.48%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -11.20%E -5.55%K -10.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 22:28
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-07 22:29
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-03-07 22:30

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-03-07 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.46%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.51%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-03-07 22:29
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.99%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13%4.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.82%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.03%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%6.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-07 22:29
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%7.8%2026-03-07 22:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-07 22:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-07 22:30
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-07 22:29
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.58%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.17%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.25%10.8%2026-03-07 22:26
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.0%2026-03-07 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%14.1%2026-03-07 22:29