L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Penguins v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 22:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)

Prévision 56.04%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.06%56.02%56.04%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.711.711.7464.52%58.48%58.48%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.96%2.27cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.485%
Kelly -0.873%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%43.98%43.96%44.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.162.152.2549.50%46.25%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:29
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:29
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:29
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.49%E -1.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 22:29
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:30
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.93%E -2.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 22:29
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.05%E -1.76%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:30
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.09%E -0.485%K -0.873%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-07 22:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.37%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.37%E -2.99%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 22:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:29
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 22:29
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:29
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 22:28
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.41%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 22:26
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 22:30
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 22:25
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 22:29
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.73%E -2.78%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.69%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 22:29
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.29%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.41%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 22:30
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.29%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 22:29
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 22:29
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -13.14%E -8.48%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -11.20%E -5.55%K -10.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 22:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-07 22:29
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-03-07 22:30

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-03-07 22:29
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-03-07 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.46%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.51%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-03-07 22:29
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.99%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.13%4.9%2026-03-07 22:29
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-07 22:30
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-03-07 22:29
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.82%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.03%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%6.2%2026-03-07 22:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-07 22:29
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%7.8%2026-03-07 22:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-07 22:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-07 22:30
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-07 22:29
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-03-07 22:29
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.58%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.17%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.25%10.8%2026-03-07 22:26
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.0%2026-03-07 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%14.1%2026-03-07 22:29