Idioma:Español
Pittsburgh Penguins v Philadelphia Flyers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Predicción 56.76%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.713%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.15%56.78%56.78%57.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.681.681.7464.52%59.48%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante)
Predicción 43.24%2.31momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.618%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%43.22%43.22%44.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.212.212.2849.50%45.30%45.25%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pittsburgh Penguins (Local): 56.76%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante): 43.24%. Para Pittsburgh Penguins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.76. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.74, con un valor esperado de -1.24%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
20 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.24%E -0.713%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.46%E -3.49%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.24%E -0.713%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.46%E -3.49%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.41%E -0.618%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.94%E -1.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.27%E -1.01%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-16 17:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 07:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-17 02:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 00:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.08%E -2.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -1.84%E -0.811%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.14%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.00%E -1.80%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 15:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.65%E -2.77%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.44%E -2.01%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.21%E -3.12%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.71%E -1.20%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.35%E -3.85%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.03%E -7.76%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -12.65%E -6.26%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-18 13:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79% | -0.1% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43% | 2.8% | 2026-04-19 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (20)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.68% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17% | 2.8% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.68% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17% | 2.8% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.68% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17% | 2.8% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.68% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.17% | 2.8% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.05% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.48% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.80% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.42% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.90% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56% | 7.8% | 2026-04-19 00:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 23:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.73% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.09% | 12.5% | 2026-04-19 00:05 |