The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Pittsburgh Penguins v Nashville Predators

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 23:08 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Penguins 3–2 Nashville Predators

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)

Prediction 53.50%1.87fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.47%53.42%53.55%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.771.8459.52%56.17%56.50%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Predators (Visit)

Prediction 46.50%2.15fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%46.58%46.45%47.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.052.1251.81%48.74%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Penguins (Local): 53.50%; Nashville Predators (Visit): 46.50%. For Nashville Predators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.56%E -0.847%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -1.56%E -0.847%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.09%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -6.07%E -3.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.89%E -0.894%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-24 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:30
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:35
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 16:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.70%E -2.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.23%E -2.37%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.14%E -2.52%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 22:50
Caesars🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.28%E -1.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.28%E -1.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.77%E -2.68%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.21%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 22:30
Paddy Power🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 22:30
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 22:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.35%E -1.12%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.21%E -2.04%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 22:30
Betsson🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:00
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 22:49
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 22:35
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.07%E -3.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 22:35
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -6.07%E -3.01%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 22:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.30%E -3.00%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.00%E -3.50%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 23:05
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.42%E -0.670%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.42%E -0.670%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 22:54
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 22:54
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.37%E -3.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.68%E -2.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 23:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -10.12%E -6.02%K -14.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -10.26%E -5.31%K -11.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-10-24 22:35
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-10-24 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-10-24 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-10-24 23:00
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-10-24 23:05
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-24 22:30
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-24 22:15
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-24 23:05
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-10-24 23:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%1.7%2026-10-24 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-24 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-24 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.29%3.1%2026-10-24 22:50
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.27%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.88%4.8%2026-10-24 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.00%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%4.9%2026-10-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-10-24 22:50
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-10-24 22:50
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%5.3%2026-10-24 22:50
Coolbet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-10-24 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%6.6%2026-10-24 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.01%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-10-24 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-10-24 22:45
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-10-24 22:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%8.9%2026-10-24 22:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.79%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%9.3%2026-10-24 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.24%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-10-24 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.71%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%11.5%2026-10-24 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%11.7%2026-10-24 23:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.25%17.8%2026-10-24 23:03