L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.45
avec la cote maximale 3.05
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.22%E -1.53%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -12.08%E -4.47%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 19:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.98%E -0.659%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -2.96%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -2.96%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| ReBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%EV -4.91%E -1.68%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 20:59 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.89%E -2.01%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.31%E -0.770%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 19:19 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.94%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 19:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.57%E -2.49%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.19%E -2.52%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:50 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -1.33%E -0.440%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.94%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.89%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:13 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.87%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -4.24%E -2.99%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -6.87%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.91%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.31%E -0.770%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:29 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.91%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.31%E -0.770%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.91%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.31%E -0.770%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.91%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.94%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.91%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.94%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Fliff | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.91%E -3.49%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.94%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Caesars | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.681%E -0.223%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.770%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.770%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.31%E -0.770%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.94%E -1.33%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.59%E -3.99%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.82%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.66%EV -12.33%E -9.49%K -41.11%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.34%EV -11.43%E -4.20%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 19:50 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.25% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 32.75% | -0.2% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.59% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 21:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.32% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.55% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.78% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.56% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.89% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 19:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.57% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 19:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 20:30 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 20:58 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 21:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 19:30 |