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Pittsburgh Penguins v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Penguins (Local)
Prediction 43.39%2.30fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -0.839%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.40%43.42%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.192.202.2849.50%45.70%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 56.61%1.77fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.60%56.58%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.691.691.7464.52%59.08%59.00%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Penguins (Local): 43.39%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 56.61%. For Pittsburgh Penguins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.07%E -0.471%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.68%E -1.66%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.68%E -1.66%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.89%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.06%E -1.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.06%E -1.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 19:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.89%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:56 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.46%E -3.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.33%E -2.56%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.50%E -0.860%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 18:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.89%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.89%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.89%E -2.91%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.06%E -1.19%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.19%E -1.87%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 19:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.76%E -2.21%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -12.36%E -6.12%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -12.25%E -7.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | -0.1% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.97% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.91% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 19:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.25% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.25% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.21% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 19:02 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05% | 10.5% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92% | 13.8% | 2026-03-22 19:03 |