默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Flyers v Utah Mammoth

开赛时间: 2026-03-06 00:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Flyers (主队)

预测 47.59%2.10公平赔率
EV -1.01%
优势 -0.485%
Kelly -0.935%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布
46.09%47.56%47.78%49.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.872.002.002.0853.48%49.94%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Utah Mammoth (客队)

预测 52.41%1.91公平赔率
EV -1.47%
优势 -0.783%
Kelly -1.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
50.91%52.44%52.22%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.821.831.8860.61%55.05%54.64%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Flyers (主队):47.59%;Utah Mammoth (客队):52.41%。 对于“Philadelphia Flyers (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.10。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.08,期望值为-1.01%,未产生正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.01%E -0.485%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 04:30
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.01%E -0.485%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 04:30
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.49%E -0.718%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.04%E -1.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-05 20:55
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.49%E -0.718%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 04:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.96%E -0.952%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.96%E -0.952%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 21:45
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:40
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 20:42
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:55
Bet Right🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.39%E -1.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 21:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:45
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 23:45
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 23:44
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Betsson🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.47%E -0.783%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 23:45
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.04%E -1.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 23:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.00%E -5.88%K -12.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -13.53%E -8.20%K -20.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-05 23:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-03-05 21:55
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-03-06 00:01
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-03-06 00:00

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-05 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-05 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-05 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-05 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%4.0%2026-03-05 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%4.7%2026-03-05 23:45
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.85%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.87%4.9%2026-03-05 23:59
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-05 21:23
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-03-05 14:44
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-03-05 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-03-05 14:44
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-03-05 14:45
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-03-05 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-03-06 00:00
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%7.6%2026-03-05 04:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-03-06 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%9.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%9.3%2026-03-05 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%9.7%2026-03-06 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.58%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.92%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.50%11.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.67%2.21I 45.25%NM 40.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%11.2%2026-03-06 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%14.0%2026-03-06 00:00