L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Flyers v Utah Mammoth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prévision 47.59%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.485%
Kelly -0.935%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.09%47.56%47.78%49.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.002.002.0853.48%49.94%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Utah Mammoth (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.41%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.783%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.91%52.44%52.22%53.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.821.831.8860.61%55.05%54.64%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.01%E -0.485%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 04:30
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.01%E -0.485%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 04:30
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.49%E -0.718%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.04%E -1.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-05 20:55
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.49%E -0.718%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.24%E -4.09%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 04:30
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.96%E -0.952%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 21:45
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.96%E -0.952%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 21:45
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 21:40
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 20:42
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 23:45
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.44%E -1.19%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.71%E -3.77%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:55
Bet Right2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.39%E -1.67%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.62%E -2.54%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 23:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 23:45
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 21:44
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 23:45
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.09%E -2.24%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 23:44
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:00
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.24%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:00
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.47%E -0.783%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 23:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.00%E -1.07%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 23:45
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.04%E -1.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.66%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:00
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.67%E -3.95%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.52%E -1.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 23:45
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.00%E -5.88%K -12.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.13%EV -13.53%E -8.20%K -20.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-05 23:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-03-05 21:55
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-03-06 00:01
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-05 22:09
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-06 00:00
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-03-06 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-03-06 00:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-05 12:15
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-05 12:15
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-05 12:15
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47%3.5%2026-03-05 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.62%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%4.0%2026-03-05 23:45
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%4.7%2026-03-05 23:45
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.85%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.87%4.9%2026-03-05 23:59
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-05 21:23
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-03-05 14:44
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-03-05 14:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-03-05 14:44
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.14%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-03-05 14:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-03-05 14:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-03-06 00:00
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%7.6%2026-03-05 04:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-03-06 00:01
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%9.3%2026-03-06 00:00
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%9.3%2026-03-05 23:45
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%9.7%2026-03-06 00:00
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.58%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.92%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.50%11.1%2026-03-05 23:45
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 35.67%2.21I 45.25%NM 40.67%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%11.2%2026-03-06 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%14.0%2026-03-06 00:00