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Philadelphia Flyers v Seattle Kraken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Prediction 50.43%1.98fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%50.46%50.52%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.901.9556.18%52.95%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Kraken (Visit)
Prediction 49.57%2.02fair odd
EV -0.868%
Edge -0.434%
Kelly -0.868%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%49.54%49.48%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.921.912.0054.95%52.06%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 50.43%; Seattle Kraken (Visit): 49.57%. For Seattle Kraken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -0.868%; they did not produce positive expected value.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.65%E -0.848%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.38%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-13 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.868%E -0.434%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 21:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 20:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 21:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 21:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.68%E -2.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.68%E -2.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 22:43 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.68%E -2.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.68%E -2.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 21:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.18%E -2.76%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.34%E -2.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.76%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-13 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.76%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.63%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-13 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.36%E -1.20%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-13 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.35%E -1.72%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -10.23%E -5.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -9.79%E -5.38%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-13 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 0.8% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-13 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 2.4% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 2.6% | 2026-10-13 22:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.0% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.43% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.66% | 1.5% | 2026-10-13 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.12% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.05% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.12% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.05% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.12% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.05% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 22:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-10-13 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93% | 6.4% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-10-13 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22% | 9.0% | 2026-10-13 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71% | 10.1% | 2026-10-13 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.55% | 12.3% | 2026-10-13 23:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51% | 14.9% | 2026-10-13 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.88% | 16.6% | 2026-10-13 23:04 |