Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Flyers (Local)
Prediction 34.07%2.94fair odd
EV -0.862%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.452%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%34.16%33.75%35.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.782.752.9138.17%35.94%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 65.93%1.52fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.37%65.84%66.25%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.4873.53%68.99%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Flyers (Local): 34.07%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 65.93%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.91, with an expected value of -0.862%; they did not produce positive expected value.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -0.862%E -0.296%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -0.862%E -0.296%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.20%E -0.415%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.20%E -0.415%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -1.54%E -0.534%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.08%E -2.10%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-11 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.23%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -2.23%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.91%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 22:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.25%E -1.14%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.08%E -2.10%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 15:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.61%E -1.65%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.42%E -1.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.42%E -1.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.42%E -1.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.08%E -2.10%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-11 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 15:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.31%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.06%E -3.51%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -7.34%E -2.70%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -2.42%E -1.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -7.34%E -2.70%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -7.34%E -2.70%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -7.68%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.08%E -2.10%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.02%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.74%E -2.56%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.75%EV -9.04%E -3.39%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.25%EV -10.33%E -7.60%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.72%E -3.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 23:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.74%E -4.10%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.40%E -3.03%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 23:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.19% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43% | 1.4% | 2026-10-11 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.65% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17% | 2.7% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.65% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17% | 2.7% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.65% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17% | 2.7% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.72% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.04% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.81% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.15% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.41% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99% | 15.1% | 2026-10-11 22:59 |