La scuola delle quote

Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes

Inizio: 2026-05-08 00:10 UTC

Finale: Philadelphia Flyers 1–4 Carolina Hurricanes

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Casa)

Previsione 39.77%2.51quota equa
EV -0.174%
Vantaggio -0.069%
Kelly -0.115%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.61%39.78%39.79%40.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.392.402.5145.45%41.84%41.67%39.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Carolina Hurricanes (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.23%1.66quota equa
EV -1.83%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.13%60.22%60.21%61.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.591.591.6368.97%63.01%62.89%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.174%E -0.069%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 23:54
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 23:55
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 00:05
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 00:05
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 23:53
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:59
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 22:09
LowVig.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 23:50
Paddy Power2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 23:54
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 00:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 23:54
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 00:00
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.15%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 00:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 00:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 19:07
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 03:50
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 17:10
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 03:47
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 19:09
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:54
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 00:04
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 23:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 00:05
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 00:00
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 00:04
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.14%E -2.60%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:50
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 03:00
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 00:04
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 00:05
MyBookie.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.33%E -3.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:09
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:10
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:10
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 00:04
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.67%E -8.74%K -28.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-07 23:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-08 00:05
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-08 00:05
Novig2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-08 00:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-08 00:05
BetOpenly2.49I 40.16%NM 39.71%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.29%1.1%2026-05-07 23:59
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-07 21:45
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-05-08 00:05
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-05-08 00:00
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-05-07 11:25

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%3.2%2026-05-08 00:04
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%3.2%2026-05-08 00:05
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%3.2%2026-05-08 00:05
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%3.2%2026-05-08 00:04
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.14%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%4.6%2026-05-07 23:59
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.25%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-05-08 00:04
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-05-05 17:05
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.23%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.69%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.08%4.8%2026-05-07 23:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%5.6%2026-05-08 00:04
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%5.6%2026-05-08 00:05
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%5.6%2026-05-08 00:04
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%5.6%2026-05-08 00:05
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%6.4%2026-05-08 00:05
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%6.7%2026-05-08 00:04
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-05-07 20:09
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%7.2%2026-05-08 00:05
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%7.2%2026-05-07 23:49
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%7.5%2026-05-08 00:04
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-05-08 00:04
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%9.6%2026-05-08 00:04
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%12.8%2026-05-08 00:05