L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Flyers v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 00:10 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Flyers 1–4 Carolina Hurricanes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Flyers (Local)

Prévision 39.77%2.51cote équitable
EV -0.174%
Avantage -0.069%
Kelly -0.115%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.61%39.78%39.79%40.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.392.402.5145.45%41.84%41.67%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.23%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.13%60.22%60.21%61.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.591.591.6368.97%63.01%62.89%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -0.174%E -0.069%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-07 23:54
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 23:55
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 00:05
Bally Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 00:05
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 23:53
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:59
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.56%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 22:09
LowVig.ag2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 23:50
Paddy Power2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 23:54
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 00:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 23:54
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.75%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 00:00
SportsBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.15%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 00:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.83%E -1.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 00:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 19:07
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 03:50
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 17:10
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 03:47
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 19:09
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:54
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.55%E -1.90%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 00:04
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 23:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.34%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.44%E -3.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 00:05
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 00:00
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.74%E -2.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 00:04
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.14%E -2.60%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.43%E -1.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:50
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 03:00
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 00:04
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.54%E -2.78%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 00:05
MyBookie.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.33%E -3.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.03%E -1.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 22:09
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.24%E -2.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:10
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.53%E -3.71%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.84%E -3.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:10
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.51%E -4.67%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.65%E -4.29%K -12.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 00:04
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.50%E -5.68%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.67%E -8.74%K -28.15%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-07 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-08 00:05
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-05-08 00:05
Novig2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-08 00:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-05-08 00:05
BetOpenly2.49I 40.16%NM 39.71%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.29%1.1%2026-05-07 23:59
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-07 21:45
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-05-08 00:05
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-05-08 00:00
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-05-07 11:25

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%3.2%2026-05-08 00:04
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%3.2%2026-05-08 00:05
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%3.2%2026-05-08 00:05
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.03%3.2%2026-05-08 00:04
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.14%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%4.6%2026-05-07 23:59
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.25%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-05-08 00:04
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-05-05 17:05
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.23%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.69%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.08%4.8%2026-05-07 23:50
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%5.6%2026-05-08 00:04
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%5.6%2026-05-08 00:05
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%5.6%2026-05-08 00:04
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%5.6%2026-05-08 00:05
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%6.4%2026-05-08 00:05
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%6.7%2026-05-08 00:04
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-05-07 20:09
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%7.2%2026-05-08 00:05
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.88%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%7.2%2026-05-07 23:49
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%7.5%2026-05-08 00:04
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-05-08 00:04
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%9.6%2026-05-08 00:04
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%12.8%2026-05-08 00:05